The National Review highlights findings from Demographic Intelligence regarding the decrease in births this year. The article mentions the traditionally consistent relationship between the economy and childbearing and how the current circumstances are not fitting with traditional expectations. Their article “Where Are the Recovery Babies? can be read here.
The Washington Examiner cites Demographic Intelligence in an article that states the total fertility rate will drop to its lowest level in three decades. The surprising decline and possible causes are discussed. Read the full article here.
The November edition of the U.S. Fertility Forecast addresses a marked decrease in 2017 births despite a growing economy and rising young adult employment. This decline coincides with a decline in sex among young adults, which may be in part due to the rising popularity of smartphones and social media as well as a reluctance to enter into a committed relationship. The full press release may be seen here.
Over the last 25 years, the fertility rate in the United States has generally hewed close to the replacement total fertility rate (TFR) of 2.1 children per woman, with slight deviations in response to the business cycle. This means that the U.S. has enjoyed exceptionally high fertility for a developed nation. But Demographic Intelligence (DI) now believes that the era of American Exceptionalism when it comes to American fertility is over. For the foreseeable future, DI predicts that the U.S. TFR will remain below 2.0.