Over the last 25 years, the fertility rate in the United States has generally hewed close to the replacement total fertility rate (TFR) of 2.1 children per woman, with slight deviations in response to the business cycle. This means that the U.S. has enjoyed exceptionally high fertility for a developed nation. But Demographic Intelligence (DI) […]
The Wall Street Journal highlights projections from the U.S. Fertility Forecast™ in it’s article “Baby Lull Promises Growing Pains for Economy.” The slow rebound in post-recession birth rates is creating challenges for businesses and long-term government programs. One specific prediction mentioned in the article is that the total fertility rate will not go above 1.9 […]
The China Fertility Forecast 2016 Baseline Report has been released by Demographic Intelligence. This report includes detailed projections for 2014 to 2017 and national projections for Chinese births from 2015 to 2030. See full press release here.