In an article for The New York Times, the economist Lyman Stone notes that "American Fertility Is Falling Short of What Women Want.” Stone, who serves as an advisor to Demographic Intelligence, predicts that the U.S. fertility rate reached 1.77 children per woman in 2017, a 38-year low. Drawing on research conducted for The U.S. Fertility Forecast, Stone points out [...]
A Washington Examiner article highlights a thorough and alarming American Enterprise Institute report on “Declining Fertility in America.” The report by Lyman Stone, an advisor for Demographic Intelligence, finds that “the specter of low fertility, and ultimately of declining populations, has come to America.” Stone lists five causes of this significant reality for our society. [...]
A Washington Post article cites a recent CDC report that shows the total fertility rate declining 18 percent in metro areas and 12 percent in rural areas. The decline holds true for white, black, and Hispanic women. A variety of theories abound for why fertility is falling so sharply. Two Demographic Intelligence advisors share their [...]
Sex is down in America. For both teenagers and young adults, sex is in decline, according to a new article by Demographic Intelligence President Samuel Sturgeon published in Politico. The share of young adults aged 18-30 who reported no sex jumped from around 10 percent a decade ago to 18 percent in 2014-2016. This decline in [...]
The New York Times cites Demographic Intelligence in an article that explores the unique state of the U.S. Fertility rate. Although the fertility rate is at a record low, there are segments of women who are reversing decades of trends of not being mothers. Read the full article here.
The Charlotte Observer explores why there are empty classrooms at an elementary school in a prosperous Charlotte suburb and what it may mean for the future of public education in North Carolina. The article may be read here.
Expectations and rationale for the decreasing U.S. birth rate are discussed in the Deseret News article “Why isn’t America having a baby boom right now?” Demographic Intelligence president, Samuel Sturgeon, is quoted as saying births will have dropped by 2.8 percent by the end of this year to 3.84 million. The predicted fertility rate of [...]
The November edition of the U.S. Fertility Forecast addresses a marked decrease in 2017 births despite a growing economy and rising young adult employment. This decline coincides with a decline in sex among young adults, which may be in part due to the rising popularity of smartphones and social media as well as a reluctance [...]
The South Korea Fertility Forecast 2017 Baseline Report has been released by Demographic Intelligence. This report includes detailed projections for 2017 to 2020 and national projections for South Korean births from 2017 to 2030. Please contact us today for more information.
Over the last 25 years, the fertility rate in the United States has generally hewed close to the replacement total fertility rate (TFR) of 2.1 children per woman, with slight deviations in response to the business cycle. This means that the U.S. has enjoyed exceptionally high fertility for a developed nation. But Demographic Intelligence (DI) [...]
Digest Subscription